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Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Outlook 2026
By Sean Draper · Published September 14, 2026 · Last updated November 3, 2026 · Updated Tuesdays and Fridays through the season
Baltimore put 41 points and roughly 500 yards on Indianapolis in the opener and came out of it with a hamstring, a fractured wrist, ten penalties and a C-minus grade for the offensive line. That is the 2026 Ravens in one afternoon: the most talented skill group in the AFC, playing behind the most rebuilt offensive line in football, running a scheme installed three months ago. The fantasy consequence is a roster with the widest price spread in the league — Derrick Henry costs a mid-second-round pick and Rashod Bateman costs nothing. All ranks and scoring on this page are 0.5 PPR unless stated otherwise.
Ravens fantasy cheat sheet
| Player | Pos | Where he’s going | Our verdict | Injury risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | QB | QB2–QB4, picks 41–57 | Not startable — on injured reserve with a thumb injury that needs surgery | Out (on injured reserve since Sunday, November 1, thumb, surgery needed — see the Injury watch table) |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | WR88 on Underdog, pick 212; no ADP at all on FFC | Start him — our Week 2 waiver claim is now a WR2 on our live injury report | Low (shoulder issue resolved; no designation on our feed as of Oct. 20) |
| Mark Andrews | TE | TE9–TE14, picks 134–139 | Draft — top-eight tight end at a TE12 price | Low |
| Zay Flowers | WR | WR6–WR15, picks 26–31 | Start — a WR2, dropping to a WR3 with Lamar Jackson on injured reserve | Low (hamstring managed through Week 6 without a recurrence; no designation on our feed as of Oct. 20) |
| Derrick Henry | RB | RB6–RB11, picks 15–17 | Fade at cost — an RB1 for two months and a coin flip in your bracket | Elevated (age 32, 2,860 career carries) |
| Justice Hill | RB | No published ADP anywhere | Handcuff him if you own Henry — he is free | Low |
| Ja’Kobi Lane | WR | WR60, pick 152 | Hold on your bench; drop in shallow leagues if you are tight on space | No longer listed on our feed as of Oct. 20 — appears to have cleared injured reserve; confirm his snap count before starting him |
| LaJohntay Wester | WR | No stable ADP | Deep-league dart behind Bateman | Low |
| Ravens D/ST | D/ST | 9th on our consensus board | Stream, do not roster — see the note below | — |
The one-line version: start Rashod Bateman, treat Mark Andrews as a top-eight tight end, keep Zay Flowers in lineups through the hamstring management, and let somebody else pay a second-round pick for a 32-year-old running back.
The backfield: 144 yards and three touchdowns is not an argument
Derrick Henry opened 2026 with 24 carries for 144 yards and three rushing touchdowns, passed Marcus Allen for third on the all-time rushing-touchdown list at 125, and made every person who faded him look silly for a week. We are going to keep fading him, and we want the reasoning on the record now rather than in December.
Henry was RB7 last season on 307 carries for 1,595 yards at 5.20 a carry with 16 rushing touchdowns — 14.8 points a game — and he did it on a 54.8% snap share, which is the relevant number. He is a two-down back whose fantasy value is almost entirely touchdowns and volume, and volume at his age has a documented cliff. Sports Illustrated’s Raven Country ran fifty-five years of it: since 1970, only five running backs have taken 250 or more carries in their age-32 season, there have been only four thousand-yard seasons at 32, backs with 200-plus carries at 32 average 3.8 yards a carry against 4.3 at 31, and there are only two instances in the entire sample of a 32-year-old clearing 4.5 a carry on 200 carries. Henry enters this year with roughly 2,860 regular-season and playoff carries.
Our verdict: he is an RB1 through October and a coin flip in your fantasy playoffs, and the price is a mid-second-round pick. That is a bad trade of certainty for cost. If you already own him, the correct move is not to sell into a three-touchdown week — it is to spend a roster spot on the handcuff.
Justice Hill is the most obviously free asset on this roster. He took six carries and a target in Week 1, he is on $3.25 million in a contract year at 29, and no outlet we checked publishes an ADP for him at all. The market has priced the back-up to a 32-year-old with 2,860 career carries at zero. Rasheen Ali is the third back; rookie Adam Randall, a Clemson receiver convert who can line up at running back, fullback and quarterback, is on injured reserve with a designation to return and is the wildcard in a Sean Payton-derived offence.
Target share: how the Bateman window opened
This was the most actionable thing on the page after Week 1. Rashod Bateman played 53 of 68 snaps — 78% — and led Baltimore in routes run in Week 1, and caught nothing, on one target. Both receivers ahead of him left the game. Zay Flowers re-aggravated a hamstring in the second quarter and was listed day-to-day; Ja’Kobi Lane fractured his wrist coming down in the end zone and NFL.com reports he will miss several weeks.
Bateman was going at pick 212 as the WR88 on Underdog with no Fantasy Football Calculator ADP at all. With Lane gone for a month or more he was, on snaps and routes, at worst the second option in this receiver room for the rest of September. Our Week 2 call was to claim him and start him as a flex — as the hedge on Flowers rather than the replacement for him. Lane’s roster status is unsettled — he is no longer listed on our injury feed — and Bateman played through his shoulder issue in the Week 5 win at Atlanta with no designation; our live injury report has him as a WR2 entering Week 7.
| Zay Flowers | Rashod Bateman | Mark Andrews | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 line | 86 rec / 118 tgt, 1,211 yds, 5 TD | 19 rec / 38 tgt, 224 yds, 2 TD | 46 rec / 67 tgt, 408 yds, 5 TD |
| 2025 target share | 27.7% — 8th in the NFL | Not published | Not published |
| 2025 snap share | 86.6% (879 snaps) | Not published for 2025 | 631 snaps |
| 2025 fantasy finish | WR12 at 14.1 points a game | Unranked | Not ranked; YPRR 41st among qualifying TEs |
| Week 1, 2026 | 5 rec / 6 tgt, 150 yds, 1 TD — in a half | 0 rec on 1 target, 78% of snaps, team lead in routes | 4 rec / 6 tgt, 49 yds |
| 2026 ADP | WR6–WR15 | WR88 / no ADP | TE9–TE14 |
| Our verdict | Hold | Claim | Draft |
Where we differ from our own board — and from ourselves. Our Week 1 start/sit page flagged Flowers as “the one downgrade on the board” on Wednesday and named Bateman as the receiver who would absorb the targets. On Friday it reversed, told you to cancel the Bateman swap and start Flowers at Indianapolis. On Sunday it marked that reversal as wrong. This page sides with the original Wednesday call, and the lesson is worth naming rather than burying: a Friday clearance on a soft-tissue injury that already cost a player two weeks of camp is weaker evidence than it looks. Flowers had a hamstring problem in the Minnesota joint practices, missed roughly a fortnight, returned on September 3, was a full participant on Thursday and Friday, carried no designation, and lasted a quarter and a half.
We held Flowers through Week 2, when the reporting on him was genuinely split. Baltimore called him day-to-day; Ian Rapoport reported Monday morning that the hamstring is not considered serious and that Flowers would have gone back in had it been a playoff game, with a real chance of facing New Orleans. On the same Monday, ESPN’s Adam Schefter told the Pat McAfee Show that “with a hamstring, you miss a little bit of time — it doesn’t sound overly serious, but, again, to think that he would be out there this week would probably be unrealistic.” Pro Football Talk has him questionable for Week 2. Those are the two biggest injury desks in the sport pointing in opposite directions on the same day, and we are not going to pick the one that makes this page tidier. Our Week 2 advice was to pencil him into the WR2 slot, hold Bateman behind him, and let that Wednesday’s practice report decide; he then played through Weeks 2 and 3 without a recurrence. Selling was the one move that was clearly wrong: those five catches for 150 yards are banked, and a receiver with a 27.7% target share — eighth in the league — is not a player you move in September. The honest caveat is that he has never scored more than five receiving touchdowns in a season, which is why we are comfortable with him as a WR2 rather than the WR6 that Fantasy Football Calculator’s board implies.
Lamar Jackson: the scheme change is the risk, not the arm
Jackson opened at 17 of 25 for 324 yards and a touchdown with seven carries for 40 yards and a rushing score, which is the QB1 week his ADP asks for. He was QB2 on our Week 1 consensus board and QB2 on Underdog. We are drafting him. But there is a risk here that almost nobody is writing about, and it is not his health.
Baltimore replaced its entire leadership in one January. John Harbaugh was dismissed after eighteen seasons, Jesse Minter is a first-time head coach, Anthony Weaver replaced Zach Orr on defence, and Todd Monken is gone — the new offensive coordinator is Declan Doyle, out of Sean Payton’s staff in Denver. Sports Illustrated’s reporting is that Doyle is installing a Payton-style offence that will sit under center more than at any point in Jackson’s career, on a quarterback who has spent more time in shotgun and pistol than almost any starter in the league since 2019.
We could not find a single outlet publishing actual under-center or shotgun percentages for this offence, so we are not going to invent one. What we can say is what it would mean: Jackson is QB2 because of rushing floor, not passing ceiling, and an under-center play-action offence is a structurally different distribution of designed and scrambled runs. Week 1’s seven carries and a rushing touchdown is one data point and it points the right way. Watch the carries, not the yards.
Our verdict: he is on injured reserve with a thumb injury that needs surgery, so he is not a startable quarterback; at a similar cost Josh Allen is the quarterback to own. He is also playing 2026 without a contract extension, which matters more in dynasty than redraft.
Mark Andrews: the competition left and the price never moved
Andrews is going TE9 to TE14, around pick 134 to 139, and sat TE13 on our own Week 1 consensus board. That price was set by a 2025 season in which he caught 46 balls for 408 yards on 4.1 targets a game and ranked 41st in yards per route run among qualifying tight ends. It is a fair price for that season. It is the wrong price for this one.
Three things changed at once. Isaiah Likely signed with the Giants for three years and $40 million. Charlie Kolar left in free agency. And Andrews signed a three-year, $39.3 million extension — a team does not pay that to a player it intends to use 4.1 times a game. What is behind him now is Durham Smythe, a blocker who is now on injured reserve, and two rookies in Matt Hibner and Josh Cuevas. FantasyPros grades Baltimore’s remaining schedule the easiest in the league for the tight end position.
Week 1 gave him six targets for four catches and 49 yards in a game Baltimore led by eighteen at half. That is a starter’s share in a blowout.
Our verdict: draft him as a top-eight tight end. This was a departure from our Week 1 board, which had him 13th, and the reason is that the board averaged eleven outlets whose ranks were set before Likely’s money was spent elsewhere. The risk you are accepting is the 41st-ranked yards per route run, which is a real number and the reason we say top-eight rather than top-four.
Injury watch
As of Tue, Nov. 3, Baltimore’s quarterback room has gotten worse, not better: Lamar Jackson remains on injured reserve with a thumb injury that is reported to need surgery, and backup Tyler Huntley — who has started multiple games in Jackson’s absence this season — is now himself listed Out with a toe injury. Justice Hill, previously an afterthought on the injury report, is Questionable with a groin issue heading into Week 8. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman continue to play through their earlier hamstring and shoulder issues without a recurrence, and Derrick Henry and Mark Andrews remain healthy. Ja’Kobi Lane is fully cleared off injured reserve. Durham Smythe, Skylar Thompson and Adam Randall remain on IR. The table below updates automatically from our status feed and editorial desk.
| Player | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | QB | IR | Thumb | — |
| Tyler Loop | K | IR | Groin | — |
| Adam Randall | RB | IR | Undisclosed | — |
| Durham Smythe | TE | IR | Achilles | — |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | Out | Toe | — |
| Skylar Thompson | QB | IR | Undisclosed | — |
Statuses updated . Status data: Sleeper.
Baltimore Ravens defense vs. position: fantasy points allowed
| Position | Pts / game | Rank | Week over week | Season trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs. Quarterbacks | 18.5 | 12 | ▲ 4 +1.3 | Getting worse (L3 21.9) |
| vs. Running Backs | 19.5 | 25 | ▲ 3 +1.0 | Steady (L3 20.7) |
| vs. Wide Receivers | 35.0 | 8 | ▼ 1 -0.8 | Steady (L3 32.9) |
| vs. Tight Ends | 13.5 | 18 | ▲ 2 +1.2 | Getting worse (L3 16.4) |
| vs. Kickers | 9.1 | 11 | ▲ 9 +1.0 | Steady (L3 9.3) |
| Ravens offense vs. opposing D/ST | 7.1 | 14 | ▲ 5 +1.1 | Getting worse (L3 11.7) |
Opponents should attack the Ravens with wide receivers (8th). The Ravens have shut down running backs (25th). Compare all 32 teams in the defense vs. position rankings.
Baltimore Ravens snap counts, carries and targets
Every Ravens running back, receiver, tight end and quarterback by week. Switch between snap share, carries and targets; teal marks the latest game.
| Pos | Player | Wk 1–8 | Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Tyler Huntley Out · Toe | – | – | – | 48% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 20% | -67 | |
| QB | Lamar Jackson IR · Thumb | 100% | 100% | 100% | 52% | – | – | – | 2% | -86 | |
| RB | Justice Hill | 46% | 47% | 33% | 38% | 46% | 42% | 46% | 49% | +6 | |
| RB | Derrick Henry | 54% | 53% | 67% | 62% | 55% | 58% | 51% | 45% | -12 | |
| RB | Rasheen Ali | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% | +5 | |
| WR | Zay Flowers | 29% | – | 33% | 73% | 82% | 88% | 85% | 82% | +17 | |
| WR | Rashod Bateman | 78% | 93% | 88% | 47% | 80% | 30% | 73% | 76% | +6 | |
| WR | Ja'Kobi Lane | 40% | – | – | – | – | 54% | 69% | 65% | +11 | |
| WR | Devontez Walker | – | 29% | 27% | 69% | 59% | 65% | 30% | 16% | -31 | |
| WR | LaJohntay Wester | 29% | 53% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 12% | -3 | |
| WR | Chris Moore | 37% | 55% | 52% | – | 9% | – | – | – | – | |
| WR | Elijah Sarratt | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | |
| TE | Mark Andrews | 72% | 71% | 52% | 58% | 72% | 72% | 57% | 57% | -8 | |
| TE | Matthew Hibner | 34% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 39% | – | 39% | 41% | -1 | |
| TE | Josh Cuevas | 9% | 9% | 25% | 28% | 25% | 40% | 22% | 25% | +2 | |
| TE | Nick Vannett | – | – | – | – | 25% | 40% | 21% | 22% | -7 | |
| TE | Durham Smythe IR · Achilles | 62% | 55% | 53% | 28% | – | – | – | – | – |
Data: nflverse, updated Wed, Nov 4 at 3:12 pm EST. See who gained and lost work across the league in the NFL Workload Report, or track your own roster with My Players.
Report current as of Tuesday, November 3, 2026. The table above refreshes automatically from our status feed.
Team forecast: why we have Baltimore at 11–6
We scanned twenty-two published projections and put fifteen with a number on the board below. The consensus is 10.84 wins. Our 11–6 is a rounding error above that average and a long way above it on seeding — we have Baltimore taking the AFC’s No. 1 seed, which only Breech and FTN’s Daniel Kelley also do.
| Source | Type | Wins | Finish / Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opta supercomputer (preseason) | Model | 7.8 | 32.5% playoffs, 18.4% division — “more questions than answers” |
| Opta supercomputer (later run) | Model | 8.86 | 2nd, AFC North — 55.8% playoffs, No. 6 seed |
| Pro Football Network | Model | 9.9 | 70.6% playoffs, 47.0% division, 12.9% Super Bowl |
| Matt Verderame, Sports Illustrated | Analyst | 10–7 | — |
| Jeff Zrebiec, The Athletic | Analyst | 11–6 | — |
| Mike Clay, ESPN | Analyst | 11–6 | — |
| Jonas Shaffer, Baltimore Banner | Analyst | 11–6 | — |
| Daniel Rios, EssentiallySports | Analyst | 11–6 | 2nd, AFC North — playoffs; “line depth is worrying” |
| NFLDraftBuzz (revised after Week 1) | Model | 11–6 | 2nd behind Cincinnati — 81% playoffs |
| John Breech, CBS Sports | Model + analyst | 11–6 | 1st, AFC North — No. 1 seed, loses Super Bowl LXI to the Rams |
| DraftKings | Market | 11.5 | Over +115 / Under −140 — highest win total in the AFC |
| BetMGM | Market | 11.5 | Over +118 / Under −105; division favourite |
| Moe Moton, Bleacher Report | Analyst | 12–5 | 1st, AFC North |
| Giana Han, Baltimore Banner | Analyst | 12–5 | — |
| Daniel Kelley, FTN Fantasy | Analyst | 13–4 | 1st, AFC North — AFC No. 1 seed |
| This site | Our call | 11–6 | 1st, AFC North — AFC No. 1 seed |
Why we are with the books and against the models. Baltimore went 8–9 last season and the models have not forgiven it. They should. FTN’s final 2025 DVOA has the Ravens at +7.3%, 14th — the best DVOA ever recorded by a team with a losing record, and 11th all-time in that category. Pro-Football-Reference’s Pythagorean expectation was 9.1–7.9 against an 8–9 record. The season shape tells the rest: Baltimore started 1–5 with Jackson missing Weeks 5 through 7 with a hamstring, climbed back to 6–5 and first place, then lost five of the last six with Jackson hurt again in Week 16. Lamar himself was 6–7 as a starter. That is an availability record, not a quality record, and it is the same mistake the models are making about Cincinnati.
Note also which model moved. Opta ran Baltimore at 7.8 expected wins and 32.5% playoff odds preseason and 8.86 and 55.8% in a later run — and NFLDraftBuzz explicitly revised the Ravens up after Week 1. The models that were most bearish are the ones correcting fastest.
The roster case is a pass rush that was the problem and has been bought. Baltimore finished 2025 tied for the third-fewest sacks in the NFL, at 30, and spent the offseason signing Trey Hendrickson away from Cincinnati on four years and $112 million and adding Calais Campbell. That is a divisional double-swing: the AFC North’s best pass rusher moved from the team we have second to the team we have first. BetMGM’s analysis also has Baltimore facing the 29th-hardest set of opposing offences, against 18th a year ago. Through six games the payoff is starting to show up in points allowed — Baltimore has climbed to 22.0 a game, 15th in the league, up from 22nd a week ago — and that is worth saying plainly; six games is still a thin sample for a unit we bet on for the season.
Why we are not at 12 or 13: the centre. Tyler Linderbaum played 1,008 snaps, 99.3%, made three Pro Bowls, and signed with Las Vegas for three years and $81 million; Baltimore was not close to matching. The man who was reportedly winning the job to replace him, Danny Pinter, tore a patellar tendon on August 19. The starter is Jovaughn Gwyn, a 2023 seventh-round pick who played eleven offensive snaps in his first two NFL seasons. ESPN’s Jamison Hensley names it the team’s single biggest concern: “The Ravens have gone from a three-time Pro Bowler in Tyler Linderbaum to a big question mark in front of Jackson.” Week 1 was a 41-point win in which Baltimore committed ten penalties, most of them offensive-line pre-snap and holding calls, and Baltimore Beatdown graded the line C-minus. First-round rookie Vega Ioane is starting at right guard next to him. That is the thing that turns 12 wins into 11, and when the interior of the line was banged up around Week 4 it also looked like the thing most likely to turn 11 into 9.
Where we differ from our own board. Our Week 1 consensus rankings had Mark Andrews at TE13 and we treat him as a top-eight tight end, for the reasons above. They also had the Ravens D/ST 9th, and there we go the other way: a unit that finished 24th in yards allowed and tied for the third-fewest sacks in football does not become a set-and-forget because it added one edge rusher. Stream it in the right weeks; do not roster it.
Game-by-game, and what it means for your lineup
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Pick | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | W ✓ graded | 1–0 |
| 2 | New Orleans Saints | Home | W | 2–0 |
| 3 | Dallas Cowboys | Away · Rio de Janeiro | W | 3–0 |
| 4 | Tennessee Titans | Home | W | 4–0 |
| 5 | Atlanta Falcons | Away · SNF | L | 4–1 |
| 6 | Cleveland Browns | Away | W | 5–1 |
| 7 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | W — graded: miss (Baltimore lost 13–35) | 6–1 |
| 8 | Buffalo Bills | Away | W | 7–1 |
| 9 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home · TNF | L | 7–2 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home · MNF | W | 8–2 |
| 11 | Carolina Panthers | Away | L | 8–3 |
| 12 | Houston Texans | Away | L | 8–4 |
| 13 | Bye | — | — | 8–4 |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | W | 9–4 |
| 15 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | W | 10–4 |
| 16 | Cleveland Browns | Home | W | 11–4 |
| 17 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away · TNF | L | 11–5 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Home | L | 11–6 |
- Weeks 1–8 — the buy window on the receiver room. We picked seven wins in eight. With Lane’s roster status unsettled, Bateman remains a WR2 on our live injury report.
- The Week 13 bye is the worst in the division. Pittsburgh byes in Week 9 and Cincinnati in Week 6; Baltimore sits out the week most leagues use as the last week of the regular season. If you are choosing between two similarly priced players, this is a real cost.
- Weeks 15–17 — strong, then a trap. We have Baltimore winning at Pittsburgh and beating Cleveland at home, then losing at Cincinnati on a Thursday. If your championship is Week 17, that Thursday short week in Cincinnati is the single worst Ravens game of the season to build a bracket around.
- The counterintuitive one: do not plan on Baltimore resting anybody in Week 18. We have the Ravens losing in Weeks 17 and 18 and still taking the AFC’s No. 1 seed at 11–6, in a three-way tie with Denver and Buffalo decided on tiebreakers. The usual “the one seed is locked, fade their starters” rule assumes a team that clinched early. This one backs in on the last weekend, which means Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry are playing meaningful snaps in the week most dynasty and best-ball formats have already stopped watching.
Frequently asked
Should I pick up Rashod Bateman?
Yes, if he is still available. He played through his shoulder issue in the Week 5 win at Atlanta and continues to carry no designation on our live injury report. Our original case, from Week 2, follows. Bateman played 53 of Baltimore’s 68 offensive snaps in Week 1 — 78% — and led the team in routes run, and he caught nothing only because the Ravens were up 31–13 at half and stopped throwing. Ja’Kobi Lane fractured his wrist and NFL.com reports several weeks out, which leaves Bateman at worst the second option in this room through September. He was going at pick 212 as the WR88 on Underdog with no Fantasy Football Calculator ADP at all, so he was almost certainly free. The Week 2 call was to flex him and claim him as the hedge on Zay Flowers rather than the replacement for him.
Are any Ravens players injured right now?
Yes. Lamar Jackson remains on injured reserve with a thumb injury that is reported to need surgery, per Ravens.com, ESPN, CBS Sports and Bleacher Report. Tyler Huntley, who has started multiple games in Jackson’s absence this season, is now himself listed Out with a toe injury, thinning the quarterback room further. Justice Hill is Questionable with a groin issue heading into Week 8. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman have played through earlier hamstring and shoulder issues without a recurrence. Ja’Kobi Lane is fully cleared off injured reserve, but confirm his role before starting him. For the latest designations, check the Injury watch table on this page, which refreshes automatically.
Should I draft Derrick Henry in 2026?
Not at picks 15 to 17, no — even after 24 carries for 144 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1. Henry turns in his age-32 season with roughly 2,860 career carries, and the history is stark: since 1970 only five backs have handled 250-plus carries at 32, 200-carry backs at that age average 3.8 yards a carry against 4.3 at 31, and only twice has a 32-year-old cleared 4.5 on that volume. He also played only 54.8% of Baltimore’s snaps last season, so the value is touchdowns and volume rather than receptions. He is an RB1 through October and a coin flip in your fantasy playoffs. If you own him, spend a roster spot on Justice Hill, who has no published ADP anywhere.
Is Mark Andrews worth drafting in 2026?
Yes — as a top-eight tight end, not the TE9-to-TE14 he is going at around pick 134. Isaiah Likely left for the Giants on three years and $40 million, Charlie Kolar left in free agency, and Andrews signed a three-year, $39.3 million extension, which is not a contract you give a player you plan to target four times a game. Behind him are a blocking tight end and two rookies, and FantasyPros grades Baltimore’s remaining schedule the easiest in the league for the position. The honest counterweight is that his 2025 yards per route run ranked 41st among qualifying tight ends, which is why we say top-eight rather than top-four.
Will the Ravens win the AFC North in 2026?
We project yes — 11–6, the division, and the AFC’s No. 1 seed. Baltimore’s 8–9 last season was the best DVOA ever recorded by a losing team, with a Pythagorean expectation of 9.1–7.9 and Lamar Jackson going 6–7 as a starter around a hamstring and a back injury. Signing Trey Hendrickson away from Cincinnati on four years and $112 million fixes the pass rush that produced the third-fewest sacks in football. The books agree — DraftKings and BetMGM both have the highest win total in the AFC at 11.5 — while the models do not, averaging 9.39. The thing that could break it is the centre position, where a seventh-round pick with eleven career snaps replaced a three-time Pro Bowler — and around Week 4 that whole interior of the line was banged up at once.
When is the Ravens bye week in 2026?
Week 13, and it is the least convenient bye in the AFC North. Pittsburgh rests in Week 9 and Cincinnati in Week 6; Baltimore sits out the week that is the regular-season finale in most twelve-team leagues, which is exactly when you can least afford two starters off the board. Baltimore goes into it off back-to-back road games at Carolina and Houston and comes out against Tampa Bay at home in Week 14.
Prediction tracker
Updated every Tuesday. Last update: November 3, 2026 — seven games graded, and we are 3 of 7. We correctly called the opener at Indianapolis, the Rio de Janeiro win over Dallas and the Week 4 home win over Tennessee; we missed the home opener, where New Orleans beat Baltimore 24–17, we missed Week 5, where Tyler Huntley led an overtime win over Atlanta with Lamar Jackson out, we missed Week 6, picking a win over Cleveland that Baltimore lost 13–10 with Huntley starting again, and we missed Week 7 as well, picking a win over Cincinnati that turned into a 13–35 home loss. The actual record is 4–3, two games behind our own game-by-game sheet’s 6–1 through this point and now a real stretch from our 11–6 full-season call. The defence had been trending the right way before the Cincinnati game — it is now allowing 23.9 points a game through seven weeks, a step back from the 22.0 mark a week ago. We are not revising the call off a seven-game sample, but Jackson’s absence and this defence are the clearest threats to 11–6 on the board right now.
| Metric | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team record | 11–6 | 4–3 through 7 games | Falling off pace — two games behind our own game-by-game sheet’s 6–1 |
| AFC North finish | 1st | — | — |
| Playoff seed | AFC No. 1 | — | — |
| Division record | 4–2 | 0–2 (lost at home to Cleveland in Week 6 and to Cincinnati in Week 7) | Well behind pace — we had both of those games as wins |
| Andrews positional finish | Top-eight TE | — | — |
| Henry finishes outside the top-8 RBs | Yes | — | — |
| Bateman finishes ahead of Lane | Yes | — | — |
| Jackson finishes top-three at QB | Yes | Void | On injured reserve since November 1, thumb surgery |
| Games called correctly | — | 3 of 7 | Missed Week 2 (New Orleans), Week 5 (the Atlanta overtime win), Week 6 (the Cleveland loss) and Week 7 (the Cincinnati loss) |
Keep going
- Half-PPR fantasy rankings
- Start/Sit calls
- 2026 team fantasy outlooks — every team we have written up so far
- Cincinnati Bengals fantasy outlook — 10–7 and second in the division, splitting with Baltimore in Weeks 7 and 17
- Pittsburgh Steelers fantasy outlook — 8–9 and third, splitting with Baltimore in Weeks 15 and 18
- Live injury report — every Ravens designation, refreshed four times a day
- Our track record — every call we make against consensus, graded after the games
Sources: Ravens.com, ESPN, CBS Sports, FOX Sports, NBC Sports and Pro Football Talk, Sports Illustrated and SI Raven Country, Bleacher Report, Baltimore Banner, Baltimore Beatdown, The Athletic, Pro Football Network, PFF, FTN Fantasy, FantasyPros, PlayerProfiler, Fantasy Football Calculator, Sharp Football Analysis, Underdog via Sharp Football, Opta via The Analyst and Yahoo Sports, NFLDraftBuzz, Pro Football Rumors, Ravens Wire, Athlon Sports, RotoWire, Ourlads, NFL.com, Pro-Football-Reference, BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel Research, Yahoo Sports, Wikipedia. Odds, ADP and injury data current as of September 14, 2026. Analysis, not betting advice.