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Los Angeles Rams Fantasy Outlook 2026
By Sean Draper · Published September 17, 2026 · Last updated November 3, 2026 · Updated Tuesdays and Fridays through the season
Between 2021 and 2024 the Rams ran six total offensive plays from 13 personnel — one back, three tight ends. Last season they ran 331 of them, 30.5% of the entire offence, far more than any other team in football, and generated a league-leading 77.4 total EPA doing it. Then they drafted a tight end in the second round and their new coordinator said publicly they are doubling down. That single decision explains almost every fantasy verdict on this page: who is protected, who is capped, and why a room with four tight ends in it will not produce one you can start. Los Angeles finished first in the NFL in points and yards last season and has the reigning MVP at quarterback. It opened 0–1 and is 3–4 after seven games, including an overtime loss to Buffalo in Week 5 and a Week 7 road win over the Raiders. All ranks and scoring on this page are 0.5 PPR unless stated otherwise.
Rams fantasy cheat sheet
| Player | Pos | Where he’s going | Our verdict | Injury risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | WR | WR2 in PPR, ADP 4 overall | Hold — a genuine WR1, but pick 4 is the ceiling, not a discount | Low now — back from a two-game hip and groin absence in Week 4, no designation |
| Kyren Williams | RB | RB14, ADP 29 | Buy — 21 routes in Week 1 against Blake Corum’s one | Low |
| Davante Adams | WR | WR23, ADP 50 | Fade — the same routes as Nacua for a third of the yards | Out — knee injury suffered in the Week 6 loss to the Cardinals; head coach Sean McVay has called it a multi-week issue |
| Matthew Stafford | QB | ADP 98 in PPR; QB12 at pick 123 on the standard board | Low-end QB1 — the reigning MVP threw it 25 times in Week 1 | Low |
| Blake Corum | RB | RB37, ADP 100 | Avoid in 12-team leagues — 13 snaps, one route, zero targets | Low |
| Colby Parkinson | TE | TE37, ADP 315 | Deep-league dart only — 75% of snaps and two targets in Week 1 | Low — cleared the AC joint sprain in time for Week 5; no current designation |
| Terrance Ferguson | TE | No confirmable ADP in any format | IR slot only — 53% of snaps, one target and no catches in Week 1 | Out (ankle; injured reserve since October 2, four-game minimum) |
| Tyler Higbee | TE | TE41, ADP 360 | Avoid — 19% of snaps and four routes | Low |
| Rams D/ST | — | 6th on our Week 2 board | Roster it — but Myles Garrett had knee surgery and remains out past his Week 6 injured-reserve eligibility date, with reports of a longer-than-planned absence | — |
The one-line version: buy Kyren Williams, fade Davante Adams, hold Puka Nacua without paying a premium for him, and leave all four Rams tight ends on waivers until one of them wins the job outright.
The backfield: Blake Corum out-gained Kyren Williams and it does not matter at all
This is the cleanest usage split we have charted this season, and it points the opposite way to the box score.
| Kyren Williams | Blake Corum | |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 snaps | 36 — 63% | 13 — 23% |
| Routes run | 21 — 72% | 1 — 3% |
| Carries / yards | 11 for 41 (3.7 a carry), 1 TD | 10 for 54 (5.4 a carry) |
| Targets / receiving | 3 targets, 3 catches, 24 yards | 0 targets |
| ADP | 29 overall (RB14) | 100 overall (RB37) |
| Our verdict | Buy | Avoid in 12-team leagues |
Twenty-one routes to one. Corum took one fewer carry than Williams and gained thirteen more yards on them, which is the sort of line that starts a backfield-committee panic in a group chat on Monday morning. Ignore it. In 0.5 PPR the thing that separates an RB1 from a touchdown-dependent flex is whether he is on the field when his team throws, and Corum ran a single route all game. Williams ran twenty-one, caught all three of his targets, and scored. That is a bell cow in every way that pays.
The 13-personnel wrinkle cuts against both of them, and it is worth understanding before you buy. Three-tight-end sets are not passing-down personnel, so the Rams’ heaviest formations reduce the number of traditional passing-down snaps available to any running back. That is a ceiling on Williams’s receiving volume, not a threat to his job. Los Angeles also managed −0.8 EPA on the ground in Week 1 against a San Francisco front, so the rushing efficiency is not a given either. He is a buy at RB14, not a buy at any price.
Where we differ from our own board. Our Week 2 rankings had Blake Corum at RB33 and called him “touchdown-contingent behind Kyren Williams.” We are going further than that. A back with one route in a season opener is not touchdown-contingent, he is touchdown-only, and in a 12-team league that is a bench spot doing nothing. RB33 was a fair weekly ranking of a player who might vulture a score; our season-long verdict is that he should not be on your roster at all unless you own Williams, in which case he is the handcuff and worth exactly that.
Target share: Davante Adams ran as many routes as Puka Nacua, and that is the bad news
Twenty-four Rams targets were charted in Week 1. Here is the distribution, and the surprise is in the second column.
| Puka Nacua | Davante Adams | Jordan Whittington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 snaps | 39 — 68% | 31 — 54% | 24 — 42% |
| Routes run | 20 — 69% | 20 — 69% | 12 — 41% |
| Targets | 9 | 6 | 1 |
| Week 1 line | 5 catches, 74 yards, including a 41-yarder | 3 catches, 26 yards | 1 catch, 8 yards |
| Yards per target | 8.2 | 4.3 | 8.0 |
| ADP | 4 overall (WR2) | 50 (WR23) | No confirmable ADP |
| Our verdict | Hold | Fade | Watch only |
Adams ran exactly as many routes as Nacua on eight fewer snaps. Read that carefully, because it is the whole case and it is not the good news it looks like. A receiver who runs twenty routes on thirty-one snaps is a passing-down specialist: he is on the field when Los Angeles throws and off it when the Rams go heavy, which is 30.5% of the time. His route share is not the problem. What he does with the routes is. Six targets produced three catches for twenty-six yards — 4.3 yards a target against Nacua’s 8.2 — and that is the version of Adams the market is paying WR23 for. Our verdict: fade him at pick 50. He will post two or three touchdown weeks that look like vindication. He will not post the yardage floor a WR2 needs, and he is behind Nacua for every high-leverage target in the offence.
On Nacua, the honest answer is that we like the player and dislike the price. Nine of twenty-four charted targets, a 41-yard catch that set up the only touchdown, and 8.2 yards a target in a game the Rams lost by twenty. Our Week 2 board had him as the consensus WR1 overall, and we did not disagree with the ranking. We disagree with paying pick 4 for it in a scheme that asks him to block inside its most-used personnel grouping. If you drafted him, start him every week and stop reading. If you are trading for him, you are buying at the top.
Matthew Stafford: the reigning MVP threw it twenty-five times
Stafford went 15 of 25 for 155 yards with no touchdowns and an interception in Melbourne, a 61.2 passer rating that Sports Illustrated notes is his lowest since 2018. Sean McVay pulled him for Stetson Bennett IV in the fourth quarter once the game was gone — a coach’s decision, not an injury. McVay afterwards: “This is a humbling day. They outplayed us in every facet.”
A note on the numbers: RotoWire’s game breakdown lists 17 of 28 for 168 yards, which is consistent with the team passing line once Bennett’s late work is included; ESPN and Bleacher Report have Stafford individually at 15 of 25 for 155. We are using the individual line and flagging the gap rather than picking one silently.
The number that matters is twenty-five attempts, and it is not a Week 1 accident. This is an offence that finished first in the NFL in points and yards and second in EPA per play by being efficient rather than voluminous — 13 personnel, play-action, a lead back who runs routes, and three tight ends in front of the quarterback. Stafford is going at pick 98 in PPR, which CBS and FantasyPros both treat as low-end QB1 territory, and our Week 2 board had him QB14 as a home favourite against the Giants in a 48.5-point game. Our verdict: draft him as your QB1 only if you are comfortable with a floor built on touchdowns rather than yardage, and never reach. The MVP season was real. The passing volume behind it was not what MVP seasons usually look like.
The tight ends: four of them, five targets, and not one you can start
New coordinator Nate Scheelhaase, promoted from pass-game coordinator when Mike LaFleur left to become Arizona’s head coach, has McVay’s play-calling duties and a clear plan. On 13 personnel: “it was something that kind of evolved organically last year… a piece of our offence that created some cool advantages.” The Rams then spent a second-round pick on Ohio State tight end Max Klare and re-signed Tyler Higbee for two years.
| Colby Parkinson | Terrance Ferguson | Tyler Higbee | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 snaps | 43 — 75% | 30 — 53% | 11 — 19% |
| Routes run | 17 — 59% | 12 — 41% | 4 — 14% |
| Targets / catches | 2 / 1 for 6 yards | 1 / 0 | 2 / 2 for 12 yards |
| ADP | 315 (TE37) | No confirmable ADP | 360 (TE41) |
| Our verdict | Deep-league dart | Dynasty hold | Avoid |
Three tight ends, five targets, eighteen yards, and a fourth body arriving from the second round. Everyone looking at a league-leading 13-personnel rate reaches for the same conclusion — more tight ends on the field means more tight-end production — and it is wrong in a specific, reproducible way. Those formations exist to win the run game and sell play-action. The tight ends in them are blockers with route trees attached. The targets go to the receiver who stayed on the field. Our verdict: only one Rams tight end is worth a roster spot, and it is Tyler Higbee. The room has consolidated toward him — by Week 6 he was running 29 routes to Parkinson’s 19 — and with Davante Adams on injured reserve he is a startable tight end.
Injury watch
As of Tuesday, November 3, 2026, the headline is Matthew Stafford: he is newly questionable with an arm injury, so check the live table below before trusting him in your lineup this week. Davante Adams remains the other significant story: he is on injured reserve with the ruptured hamstring, a 6–10 week absence per Sean McVay. In the tight end room, Tyler Higbee remains the starter, but Colby Parkinson is now out with a rib injury that kept him inactive in Week 8, and Terrance Ferguson remains on injured reserve with the ankle sprain he suffered October 2. Puka Nacua and Kyren Williams remain clean. The table below updates automatically from our status feed and editorial desk.
| Player | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | WR | IR | Hamstring | — |
| Matthew Stafford | QB | Questionable | Arm | — |
| Colby Parkinson | TE | Out | Ribs | — |
| Terrance Ferguson | TE | IR | Ankle | — |
| Ty Simpson | QB | Out | Coach's Decision | — |
| Matthew Caldwell | QB | IR | Undisclosed | — |
| Ronnie Rivers | RB | IR | Calf | — |
| Dean Connors | RB | Questionable | Hand | — |
| Blake Grupe | K | IR | Knee | — |
Statuses updated . Status data: Sleeper.
Los Angeles Rams defense vs. position: fantasy points allowed
| Position | Pts / game | Rank | Week over week | Season trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs. Quarterbacks | 16.8 | 20 | ▼ 6 -1.0 | Getting better (L3 12.7) |
| vs. Running Backs | 19.9 | 22 | ▼ 3 -0.7 | Steady (L3 19.7) |
| vs. Wide Receivers | 26.8 | 28 | ● 0 -0.1 | Steady (L3 24.8) |
| vs. Tight Ends | 10.6 | 26 | ▲ 2 +0.4 | Getting worse (L3 17.5) |
| vs. Kickers | 9.9 | 4 | ▲ 3 +0.2 | Getting worse (L3 12.7) |
| Rams offense vs. opposing D/ST | 6.1 | 20 | ▼ 3 -0.4 | Getting better (L3 4.0) |
Opponents should attack the Rams with kickers (4th). The Rams have shut down wide receivers (28th), tight ends (26th). Compare all 32 teams in the defense vs. position rankings.
Los Angeles Rams snap counts, carries and targets
Every Rams running back, receiver, tight end and quarterback by week. Switch between snap share, carries and targets; teal marks the latest game.
| Pos | Player | Wk 1–8 | Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Matthew Stafford | 84% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | +2 | |
| QB | Stetson Bennett | 16% | – | – | – | – | 0% | – | – | – | |
| RB | Kyren Williams | 64% | 55% | 71% | 83% | 73% | 72% | 51% | 69% | +2 | |
| RB | Blake Corum | 23% | 45% | 29% | 15% | 27% | 28% | 44% | 31% | +1 | |
| RB | Ronnie Rivers | 13% | 0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| WR | Puka Nacua | 70% | – | – | 90% | 85% | 90% | 85% | 96% | +12 | |
| WR | Konata Mumpfield | 26% | 69% | 73% | 27% | 7% | 47% | 43% | 50% | +8 | |
| WR | Tutu Atwell | – | 18% | – | 23% | 39% | – | 35% | 39% | +10 | |
| WR | Jordan Whittington | 41% | – | 24% | 50% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 7% | -20 | |
| WR | Davante Adams | 54% | 65% | 83% | 95% | 73% | 74% | – | – | – | |
| WR | Xavier Smith | 26% | 42% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| TE | Tyler Higbee | 20% | 26% | 71% | 65% | 67% | 83% | 74% | 83% | +25 | |
| TE | Davis Allen | 34% | 52% | 36% | 48% | 50% | 31% | 69% | 74% | +28 | |
| TE | Max Klare | – | 0% | 0% | 1% | – | 0% | – | 46% | +46 | |
| TE | Colby Parkinson | 77% | 71% | 43% | – | 65% | 62% | 69% | – | – | |
| TE | Terrance Ferguson | 51% | 58% | 26% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Data: nflverse, updated Tue, Nov 3 at 11:12 am EST. See who gained and lost work across the league in the NFL Workload Report, or track your own roster with My Players.
Report current as of Tuesday, November 3, 2026. The table above refreshes automatically from our status feed.
Team forecast: why we have Los Angeles at 12–5
We scanned fifteen independent projections on a team that opened the year as a joint-favourite for the league’s highest win total. The board is the widest split we have published: the people who watch football for a living are a win and a half above the people who price it for a living, and this is the first team this season where we have sided with the books.
| Source | Type | Wins | Finish / Call |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Breech, CBS Sports | Analyst | 14–3 | 1st NFC West; loses the NFC Championship. Notes the last 20 teams at +500 or shorter went 0–20 to win it all |
| Nate Davis, USA Today | Analyst | 14–3 | NFC No. 1 seed; picks the Rams to beat Buffalo in Super Bowl LXI |
| Sports Illustrated (Rams site) | Analyst | 13–4 | Wins the Super Bowl |
| Yahoo Sports | Analyst | 13–4 | 1st, NFC No. 1 seed. “Garrett, McDuffie, Watson and Donald are just scary” |
| Bleacher Report | Analyst | 13–4 | Best record in the NFC |
| Opta supercomputer | Model | 11.70 | 65.5% to win the division, 89.5% playoffs, 19.9% Super Bowl; No. 1 overall team rating. Superseded — see the note below this table |
| DraftKings | Market | 11.5 | Over −130 / Under +110; Super Bowl price moved +950 → +600 → +500 |
| BetMGM | Market | 11.5 | Over +115 / Under −140; house lean is the Under — “the law of averages… suggests the only way to go is down” |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | Market | 11.5 | Over −145; notes the Rams have gone over their total three straight years |
| FOX Sports | Market | 11.5 | Over −125. “The Rams do not have a weakness” |
| SportsBettingDime best-odds aggregate | Market | 11.5 | Over −120 / Under +100 |
| VegasInsider aggregate | Market | 11.5 | Opened at 10.5; Caesars is the outlier at 10.5 |
| PFF season model | Model | 11.13 | Third-easiest strength of schedule in the NFL |
| ESPN FPI | Model | — | No win projection retrievable. Playoff odds fell from 85% to 53.4% and Super Bowl odds from 14.9% to 4.3% after Week 1, with San Francisco overtaking them as the model’s favourite |
| FTN — Aaron Schatz DVOA | Model | — | No win projection; 29th in total DVOA at −49.7% after Week 1, against a preseason-weighted DAVE of 16.0%, third overall |
| This site | Our call | 12–5 | 1st, NFC West — NFC No. 1 seed |
Why we are at twelve and not fourteen. Three reasons, in order of size. First, Myles Garrett had knee surgery, was on injured reserve past his Week 6 eligibility date, and reports have him running longer than the original six-week timeline — the single acquisition that moved this team’s Super Bowl price from +950 to +500 has already missed close to a quarter of the season, and he was already playing through swelling when he recorded nothing in Melbourne. Second, they opened 0–1, and it was not close: San Francisco converted seven of twelve on third and fourth down, held the ball for nearly thirty-four minutes and won 27–7. Third, and least discussed, the division. On our board the NFC West sends three teams to the playoffs, and the Rams go 3–3 in it.
Why we are not at eleven. PFF grades this the third-easiest schedule in football, Opta rates the roster first overall and had Los Angeles at 65.5% to win the division on the run in the table above, and the offence that finished first in points and yards returns its coordinator’s system, its MVP quarterback and both starting receivers. FTN has them 29th in DVOA after one game and third in the preseason-weighted version, which is the correct way to read a single blowout in Australia. One bad Thursday in Melbourne is not a thesis.
The claim we are prepared to be graded on hardest: we have the NFC’s No. 1 seed going 3–3 inside its own division and 4–4 on the road. That is an unusual shape for a top seed and we know it. It falls out of having Seattle at 11–6 and San Francisco at 11–6 behind them — three playoff teams from one division, which almost nobody else has — and from a 4–13 Arizona team beating them in Week 10. If Los Angeles sweeps this division, we are wrong about the seed and probably right about the wins.
Where we differ from our own board. Our Week 2 rankings had the Rams defence sixth against the Giants on Monday night. We did not argue with that weekly call — the Giants are 5–12 on our board — but that ranking priced a unit whose headline signing was on injured reserve, and no row on the board said so. That board also had Blake Corum at RB33 while this page says he is not rosterable in a 12-team league, and it had Puka Nacua as the consensus WR1 overall while this page declines to pay pick 4 for him. Those are differences of horizon, not of fact, and we would rather name them than let a reader find them.
Game-by-game, and what it means for your lineup
| Wk | Opponent | Site | Pick | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ers | Melbourne · Rams designated home | W — graded: miss | 1–0 |
| 2 | New York Giants | Home · MNF | W | 2–0 |
| 3 | Denver Broncos | Away · SNF | W | 3–0 |
| 4 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | W | 4–0 |
| 5 | Buffalo Bills | Home · MNF | L | 4–1 |
| 6 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | W | 5–1 |
| 7 | Las Vegas Raiders | Away | W | 6–1 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | W | 7–1 |
| 9 | Washington Commanders | Away | W | 8–1 |
| 10 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | L | 8–2 |
| 11 | Bye | — | — | 8–2 |
| 12 | Green Bay Packers | Home · Wednesday | W | 9–2 |
| 13 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home · TNF | W | 10–2 |
| 14 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | L | 10–3 |
| 15 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | W | 11–3 |
| 16 | Seattle Seahawks | Away · Christmas Day | L | 11–4 |
| 17 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | L | 11–5 |
| 18 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | W | 12–5 |
- Weeks 2 to 4 were the softest stretch any contender gets, and we had the Rams 3–0 in it. Home to the Giants on Monday night, at Denver, at Philadelphia. They went 2–1, losing 30–26 at Denver, with Myles Garrett on injured reserve throughout.
- Week 11 bye — the same week as Seattle’s, one week before most brackets open. That is close to ideal in isolation. It is a problem if you own players from both NFC West contenders, which a lot of managers do, so check your roster for a Week 11 hole in October rather than in November.
- Weeks 15 to 17 are the worst fantasy-playoff stretch of any team we have written up, and we have the No. 1 seed 1–2 in it. Home to Dallas, at Seattle on Christmas Day, at Tampa Bay. Two road games in the two weeks most leagues run semi-finals and finals, one of them against the team we have second in this division. Start your Rams anyway — Nacua and Kyren Williams are not bench players in any week — but if you were counting on the league’s best offence to carry December, count again.
- The counterintuitive one: a league-leading rate of three-tight-end personnel is the reason to fade every tight end on this roster, and the reason the receiver you should not draft is still the only receiver worth owning. Everyone reads 30.5% of snaps in 13 personnel as a tight-end factory. It is the opposite. Those formations exist to win the run and sell play-action; the tight ends inside them are blockers who occasionally run a route, which is how four of them split five targets in the opener. What 13 personnel actually does is thin the receiver room to one man, which is why Puka Nacua takes nine of twenty-four targets and why Davante Adams is on the field for barely half the snaps. In this scheme the WR2 is structurally squeezed and the TE1 does not exist. Buy the funnel, not the formation.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Puka Nacua at pick 4?
Only if you are comfortable paying full price. Nacua went fourth overall at WR2 in PPR and was the consensus WR1 on our Week 2 board, which was a fair ranking of the player: nine of the Rams’ twenty-four charted targets in Week 1, five catches for 74 yards including the 41-yarder that set up their only touchdown, and 8.2 yards a target in a twenty-point loss. The reason we say hold rather than buy is scheme. Los Angeles ran 13 personnel on 30.5% of its snaps last season and is doubling down, and in those sets Nacua blocks. He is a genuine WR1 whose price already assumes everything goes right.
Is Davante Adams worth starting in 2026?
As a WR3, not at his WR23 price. The Week 1 usage is the surprise: Adams ran exactly as many routes as Puka Nacua — twenty each — on eight fewer snaps, which makes him a passing-down specialist rather than a full-time receiver. His route share is not the problem. The return is: six targets produced three catches for twenty-six yards, 4.3 yards a target against Nacua’s 8.2, and our Week 2 board called him “touchdown-dependent.” He is going at pick 50. He is now on injured reserve with a ruptured hamstring, out 6–10 weeks, so there is no week to start him in for now: drop him in shallow and medium leagues, start Puka Nacua and add Konata Mumpfield.
Kyren Williams or Blake Corum?
Kyren Williams, and it is not close — even though Corum out-gained him in Week 1. Corum took ten carries for 54 yards to Williams’s eleven for 41, which is the kind of split that starts a committee panic. The number that settles it is routes: Williams ran 21, Corum ran 1. Williams played 63% of the snaps to Corum’s 23%, caught all three of his targets for 24 yards and scored. In 0.5 PPR a back who is on the field when his team throws is a different asset class from one who is not. Williams is a buy at RB14; Corum is the handcuff and nothing more.
Are any Rams tight ends worth rostering in fantasy?
Only one: Tyler Higbee, who has taken over the room and is a startable tight end while Davante Adams is on injured reserve. The rest are not, and the reason is the thing that looks like it should make them valuable. Los Angeles ran three-tight-end personnel on 30.5% of its snaps last season, more than any team in football, and spent a second-round pick on Max Klare to keep doing it. In Week 1 the room produced five targets, three catches and eighteen yards between them, with no tight end catching a pass until the third quarter. Colby Parkinson played 75% of the Week 1 snaps but has since lost the lead role to Higbee and was inactive for Week 8 with a rib injury. Terrance Ferguson is on injured reserve with an ankle sprain; Tyler Higbee played 19% of the Week 1 snaps. Those formations are for blocking, not for targets.
Will the Rams win the NFC West in 2026?
We say yes — 12–5, first in the NFC West and the NFC’s No. 1 seed — but with a 3–3 division record, which is an unusual shape for a top seed and the part of this call we are least comfortable with. Our 12–5 sits below a consensus of 12.22 wins across the thirteen projections that published a number, and well below an analyst camp averaging 13.40. We have sided with the books at 11.5 and the models at 11.41 for three reasons: Myles Garrett is past his Week 6 injured-reserve eligibility date after knee surgery with reports of a longer-than-planned absence, the Rams opened 0–1 after a 27–7 loss in Melbourne and are 2–4 after six games, and we have this division sending three teams to the playoffs. Opta’s September 17 rebuild still has Los Angeles winning the West, but at 10.17 wins and as the NFC’s No. 3 seed rather than its first.
When is the Rams bye week in 2026?
Week 11 — the same week as Seattle’s, and one week before most fantasy leagues start their playoffs. In isolation that is a good bye: every Ram you own is available for the whole bracket. In practice it is a trap for anyone rostering players from two NFC West teams, which is common given Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams and Jaxon Smith-Njigba all go inside the first three rounds. Check that week in October.
Prediction tracker
Updated Tuesdays and Fridays through the season. Last update: November 3, 2026 — seven games graded, and we are 4 of 7. The Week 4 pick (Rams beat the Eagles) was right, so was Week 2’s correct call on the Giants rout, so was our Week 5 call that Buffalo would beat the Rams — Los Angeles lost 37–34 in overtime on Monday Night Football — and so was our Week 7 call that the Rams would beat the Raiders; Los Angeles won 35–21 at Las Vegas. The misses are the season-opening loss to San Francisco, Week 3, where we had the Rams beating Denver and they lost 30–26 after Bo Nix’s late comeback, and Week 6, where we had the Rams beating Arizona at home and they lost 16–18. The Rams are 3–4 through seven games, more than two wins off the pace our 12–5 call implies at this point of the schedule (6–1) — still the largest gap on any team page we’ve published this season, and worth saying plainly. The prediction stays as published; we mark misses, we do not re-cut them. This page is updated as news breaks; player statuses render live from our injury feed.
| Metric | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team record | 12–5 | 3–4 through 7 games | Well behind pace — still around three wins off the ~6 implied at this point, despite the Week 7 road win over the Raiders |
| NFC West finish | 1st | — too early | — |
| Division record | 3–3 | 0–2 through 7 games (L vs. San Francisco, Wk 1; L vs. Arizona, Wk 6; no division game in Week 7) | Already two division losses against a projected 3–3 split |
| NFC seed | 1 | — too early | — |
| NFC West sends three playoff teams | Yes | — too early | — |
| Arizona wins the Week 10 meeting | Yes | — not yet Week 10 | — |
| Kyren Williams finishes as a top-12 PPR back | Yes | — too early | — |
| Davante Adams finishes outside the top 24 WRs | Yes | — too early | — |
| No Rams TE finishes inside the top 18 | Yes | — too early | — |
| Stafford throws under 4,000 yards | Yes | — too early | — |
| Games called correctly | — | 4 of 7 | — |
Keep going
- Half-PPR fantasy rankings
- Start/Sit calls — head-to-head lineup decisions, published before kickoff
- 2026 team fantasy outlooks — every team we have written up so far
- Seattle Seahawks fantasy outlook — 11–6 and the No. 5 seed, beating the Rams on Christmas Day and losing the Week 18 rematch
- San Francisco 49ers fantasy outlook — 11–6 and the No. 6 seed, and the team that beat the Rams in the Week 1 opener
- Arizona Cardinals fantasy outlook — 4–13 and last, and beating the Rams in Week 10 on our board
- Live injury report — every Rams designation, refreshed four times a day
- Our track record — every call we make against consensus, graded after the games
Sources: therams.com, 49ers.com, NFL.com, ESPN, CBS Sports, FOX Sports, NBC Sports, Sports Illustrated, SI Betting, CNN, Newsweek, Los Angeles Times, Turf Show Times, Heavy, Bleacher Report, USA Today, Yahoo Sports, TotalProSports, The Big Lead, Unexpected Points, PlayerProfiler, PFF, FTN Fantasy, FantasyPros, FantasyData, RotoWire, Sharp Football Analysis, SportsBettingDime, VegasInsider, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, Fanatics Sportsbook, Opta via The Analyst and Yahoo Sports, Wikipedia. Schedule, sites and bye week checked against NFL.com. Odds, ADP and injury data current as of September 17, 2026; team injury designations current to September 14. Analysis, not betting advice. This page is updated as news breaks; player statuses render live from our injury feed.